ARQT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +1.6% | 12.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.7% | 3.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 4.0% | 70% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | -1.0% | 14.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +120.0% | +7.8% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -9.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -55.2% | -5.6% | -14.5% | +4.4% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +46.8% | +2.5% | +5.8% | -16.1% | -25.7% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | -0.09 | 0.06 | +163.6% | +14.6% | +27.0% | -3.8% | +24.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +17.9% | +5.9% | -8.1% | +13.2% | +22.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.8% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -0.7% | +4.9% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | -0.26 | -0.09 | +66.0% | +13.5% | +8.4% | +11.8% | +21.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.42 | -0.33 | +22.4% | +6.6% | +7.7% | -4.5% | +21.0% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | -0.53 | -0.42 | +20.8% | -4.0% | -11.3% | -2.1% | +19.5% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | -0.73 | -0.32 | +56.2% | +15.9% | +13.7% | +7.4% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.