ARQT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +2.2% | 11.0% | 59% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -1.1% | 5.4% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.2% | 3.1% | 56% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +2.1% | 14.4% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +120.0% | +7.8% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -9.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.06 | -0.09 | -55.2% | -5.6% | -14.5% | +4.4% | +4.3% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +46.8% | +2.5% | +5.8% | -16.1% | -25.7% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | -0.09 | 0.06 | +163.6% | +14.6% | +27.0% | -3.8% | +24.1% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +17.9% | +5.9% | -8.1% | +13.2% | +22.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.8% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -0.7% | +4.9% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | -0.26 | -0.09 | +66.0% | +13.5% | +8.4% | +11.8% | +21.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | -0.42 | -0.33 | +22.4% | +6.6% | +7.7% | -4.5% | +21.0% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | -0.53 | -0.42 | +20.8% | -4.0% | -11.3% | -2.1% | +19.5% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | -0.73 | -0.32 | +56.2% | +15.9% | +13.7% | +7.4% | -6.6% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | -0.80 | -0.72 | +10.0% | +8.4% | +9.7% | +2.5% | -9.8% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | -0.91 | -0.73 | +20.1% | +9.5% | +9.9% | -21.9% | -16.6% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -1.25 | -1.16 | +7.0% | +5.1% | -4.5% | -12.6% | -21.0% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | -1.26 | -1.31 | -3.6% | -0.7% | -18.8% | -16.8% | -17.4% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | -1.44 | -1.18 | +17.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% | -19.4% | -34.7% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | -1.75 | -1.89 | -7.8% | -8.0% | -0.4% | +3.3% | -8.7% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -1.42 | -1.31 | +7.8% | -1.1% | +2.2% | -0.1% | -16.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -1.52 | -1.27 | +16.6% | -1.5% | -7.7% | -7.6% | +10.3% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | -1.54 | -1.42 | +7.9% | +1.5% | +0.9% | +13.3% | +9.5% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | -1.19 | -1.14 | +4.4% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -3.9% | -25.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.93 | -0.84 | +9.3% | +0.2% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -4.0% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | -0.97 | -0.76 | +21.6% | +2.3% | +1.0% | -18.8% | -21.4% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | -0.86 | -0.79 | +8.1% | +3.2% | +4.0% | -0.1% | -13.6% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.90 | -1.01 | -12.5% | -1.2% | -2.2% | +16.0% | +44.7% |
| 2020-08-11 miss | -0.84 | -0.94 | -11.5% | +1.4% | +6.0% | +3.1% | -10.3% |
| 2020-05-12 miss | -0.85 | -1.15 | -34.8% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +9.0% | -4.8% |
| 2020-03-19 beat | -9.21 | -6.13 | +33.4% | +2.9% | +32.1% | -17.9% | -15.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.