ARW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -1.6% | 7.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.0% | 1.7% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -0.4% | 7.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 4.45 | 5.45 | +22.5% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +5.1% | +6.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.85 | 5.22 | +83.0% | +2.2% | -1.1% | +12.9% | +15.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 3.57 | 4.39 | +23.1% | +2.9% | +12.4% | -1.5% | -11.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.29 | 2.41 | +5.1% | -3.1% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.05 | 2.43 | +18.7% | -2.4% | -10.6% | +2.2% | +8.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.43 | 1.80 | +25.5% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +4.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.68 | 2.97 | +11.0% | -8.5% | -4.5% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.22 | 2.38 | +7.2% | -7.0% | -12.6% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.16 | 2.78 | +28.7% | +6.5% | +4.2% | -1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.37 | 2.41 | +1.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +2.3% | +8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.