ARW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.6% | 6.6% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.5% | 7.2% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 4.45 | 5.45 | +22.5% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +5.1% | +6.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 2.85 | 5.22 | +83.0% | +2.2% | -1.1% | +12.9% | +15.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 3.57 | 4.39 | +23.1% | +2.9% | +12.4% | -1.5% | -11.8% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 2.29 | 2.41 | +5.1% | -3.1% | -1.5% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.05 | 2.43 | +18.7% | -2.4% | -10.6% | +2.2% | +8.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.43 | 1.80 | +25.5% | +5.5% | +1.5% | +4.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 2.68 | 2.97 | +11.0% | -8.5% | -4.5% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.22 | 2.38 | +7.2% | -7.0% | -12.6% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.16 | 2.78 | +28.7% | +6.5% | +4.2% | -1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 2.37 | 2.41 | +1.8% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +2.3% | +8.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 3.72 | 3.98 | +7.1% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +0.3% | +6.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 3.51 | 4.14 | +17.9% | +4.3% | +5.5% | -2.5% | -0.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 4.34 | 4.37 | +0.6% | -3.5% | -9.6% | -1.1% | +4.8% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 4.50 | 4.60 | +2.3% | +0.3% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +6.4% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 5.68 | 5.69 | +0.2% | +9.0% | +10.2% | -3.2% | -10.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 5.39 | 5.45 | +1.2% | -2.0% | +0.9% | +7.7% | +4.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 5.65 | 5.78 | +2.3% | -3.2% | -6.1% | -6.4% | -13.8% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 4.56 | 5.43 | +19.0% | -1.5% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 4.44 | 5.37 | +20.8% | +1.9% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -10.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 3.57 | 4.04 | +13.2% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +3.9% | +3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.