ASB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.9% | 1.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 1.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.1% | 4.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.72 | 0.63 | -12.4% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +2.1% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +3.0% | +3.5% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +14.2% | +2.0% | -3.7% | +3.1% | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +8.1% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -3.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.6% | +1.1% | +1.3% | -5.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +9.7% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -3.7% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +12.4% | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +18.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.2% | -3.1% | +0.1% | -11.6% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.