ASB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 33% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.1% | 6.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 0.72 | 0.63 | -12.4% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +0.3% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +2.1% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +3.0% | +3.5% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +14.2% | +2.0% | -3.7% | +3.1% | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +8.1% | +0.6% | +1.1% | -3.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.6% | +1.1% | +1.3% | -5.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +9.7% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -3.7% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +12.4% | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +18.7% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.2% | -3.1% | +0.1% | -11.6% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.1% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +2.1% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -5.1% | -3.7% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.8% | -0.7% | -5.6% | +3.8% | +16.7% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -3.9% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +4.7% | -5.8% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +2.6% | +3.2% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -12.5% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.70 | +6.8% | -2.3% | -2.5% | +7.4% | +5.3% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.7% | +5.0% | +6.9% | +8.0% | +8.0% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +28.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +6.4% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.47 | +23.7% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -5.4% | -5.0% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.42 | 0.49 | +16.7% | +1.6% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.44 | 0.56 | +26.6% | -4.6% | -0.8% | -1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.3% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +6.7% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.45 | 0.56 | +25.4% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 0.31 | 0.41 | +34.4% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -7.1% | +5.1% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +3.5% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -4.3% | +12.0% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +27.9% | +1.0% | +1.3% | -6.7% | +1.5% |
| 2020-04-23 miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.2% | +1.6% | +5.0% | +8.1% | +12.1% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.6% | -0.1% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -11.3% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.4% | +1.8% | -0.3% | +1.9% | +7.4% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.5% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -4.1% | -11.8% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.6% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +3.4% | -6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.