ATR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | +0.8% | 5.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.3% | 1.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.4% | 7.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.42 | +4.8% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.5% | +2.9% | -3.8% | +1.7% | -5.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.7% | +2.9% | +8.3% | +6.2% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.57 | 1.62 | +3.1% | -7.3% | -6.7% | +0.2% | +4.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.59 | 1.66 | +4.7% | -0.1% | -10.0% | -0.4% | -3.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +3.2% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.9% | +0.7% | -8.5% | +1.1% | +3.3% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.42 | 1.49 | +4.9% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.26 | +9.8% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.