ATR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | +0.5% | 4.5% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.1% | 37% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +1.2% | 6.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.42 | +4.8% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.5% | +2.9% | -3.8% | +1.7% | -5.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.7% | +2.9% | +8.3% | +6.2% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.57 | 1.62 | +3.1% | -7.3% | -6.7% | +0.2% | +4.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.59 | 1.66 | +4.7% | -0.1% | -10.0% | -0.4% | -3.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +3.2% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.9% | +0.7% | -8.5% | +1.1% | +3.3% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.42 | 1.49 | +4.9% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +3.7% | -0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.15 | 1.26 | +9.8% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +2.4% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.12 | 1.21 | +8.2% | +0.0% | +5.2% | -1.1% | +2.5% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.27 | 1.39 | +9.4% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +2.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.14 | 1.23 | +8.3% | +2.8% | +3.9% | -2.5% | +4.5% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.4% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +2.7% | -4.3% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +16.4% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +0.0% | -3.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.5% | +2.9% | +2.1% | -2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.1% | +0.4% | +2.4% | -3.1% | -6.7% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.2% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +2.9% | -0.7% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.94 | 0.94 | -0.0% | -2.0% | -4.1% | +8.9% | -1.0% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 0.97 | 0.91 | -5.7% | -2.2% | -7.3% | -0.4% | +4.9% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.90 | 1.09 | +21.0% | -0.6% | -0.1% | +4.5% | -2.6% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -1.7% | -6.2% | -1.6% | +7.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.84 | 1.00 | +18.4% | +2.9% | +1.0% | +8.3% | +12.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.80 | +21.4% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +3.5% | +2.8% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +7.3% | +3.2% | -0.9% | +1.3% | +5.6% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +2.4% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -9.7% | -25.0% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.95 | 0.93 | -2.5% | -3.8% | -6.2% | -1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.13 | 1.15 | +1.5% | -0.7% | -2.9% | +4.5% | +4.0% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.98 | 1.07 | +8.9% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.