AVAV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -4.8% | 12.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +2.0% | +0.8% | 5.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -1.8% | 4.5% | 44% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -4.4% | 17.4% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 beat | 0.25 | 0.59 | +138.1% | +4.2% | +4.5% | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.84 | +25.0% | +27.0% | +18.8% | -4.4% | -11.2% |
| 2026-03-10 miss | 0.69 | 0.64 | -7.4% | -7.7% | -6.2% | +3.9% | -13.5% |
| 2025-12-09 miss | 0.79 | 0.44 | -44.2% | -6.1% | -12.9% | -6.6% | +51.1% |
| 2025-09-09 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.7% | +0.4% | +7.0% | +10.1% | +61.2% |
| 2025-06-24 beat | 1.39 | 1.61 | +15.7% | +15.8% | +21.6% | +4.8% | +16.1% |
| 2025-03-04 miss | 0.72 | 0.30 | -58.2% | -22.4% | -4.4% | -10.4% | -13.3% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.68 | 0.47 | -30.9% | -11.1% | -15.9% | -7.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 0.65 | 0.89 | +37.3% | -1.6% | -5.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.43 | +101.6% | -8.2% | -7.7% | -5.1% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.