AVAV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -2.7% | 12.2% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +2.6% | +1.9% | 4.7% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 3.2% | 48% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +2.1% | 13.8% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 beat | 0.25 | 0.59 | +138.1% | +4.2% | +4.5% | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 beat | 1.47 | 1.84 | +25.0% | +27.0% | +18.8% | -4.4% | -11.2% |
| 2026-03-10 miss | 0.69 | 0.64 | -7.4% | -7.7% | -6.2% | +3.9% | -13.5% |
| 2025-12-09 miss | 0.79 | 0.44 | -44.2% | -6.1% | -12.9% | -6.6% | +51.1% |
| 2025-09-09 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.7% | +0.4% | +7.0% | +10.1% | +61.2% |
| 2025-06-24 beat | 1.39 | 1.61 | +15.7% | +15.8% | +21.6% | +4.8% | +16.1% |
| 2025-03-04 miss | 0.72 | 0.30 | -58.2% | -22.4% | -4.4% | -10.4% | -13.3% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.68 | 0.47 | -30.9% | -11.1% | -15.9% | -7.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 0.65 | 0.89 | +37.3% | -1.6% | -5.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.43 | +101.6% | -8.2% | -7.7% | -5.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-03-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.63 | +83.1% | +15.3% | +27.9% | -3.1% | -12.4% |
| 2023-12-05 beat | 0.61 | 0.97 | +58.0% | -5.9% | -10.2% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2023-09-05 beat | 0.30 | 1.00 | +235.6% | +18.8% | +20.7% | -2.7% | -7.9% |
| 2023-06-27 miss | 1.00 | 0.99 | -1.2% | +5.9% | +4.9% | +1.9% | +0.3% |
| 2023-03-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -23.6% | +5.1% | +4.2% | +1.4% | +11.5% |
| 2022-12-06 miss | 0.24 | — | -100.0% | +4.1% | -3.2% | +6.9% | +8.9% |
| 2022-09-07 miss | 0.12 | -0.10 | -184.5% | -0.8% | +14.9% | -7.3% | -24.6% |
| 2022-06-28 miss | 0.40 | 0.30 | -25.3% | -9.5% | -4.6% | +9.7% | +11.1% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.3% | +4.1% | +1.7% | +2.0% | +31.7% |
| 2021-12-07 beat | 0.64 | 0.78 | +22.8% | +0.4% | -27.5% | +5.9% | +8.8% |
| 2021-09-08 beat | -0.25 | -0.17 | +32.5% | -0.1% | -12.8% | -5.2% | -5.7% |
| 2021-06-29 beat | 0.81 | 1.04 | +27.8% | -3.9% | -8.8% | -3.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-03-09 beat | — | 0.14 | +6900.0% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.1% | +4.2% |
| 2020-12-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.48 | +56.9% | +3.9% | -2.2% | -7.0% | +5.3% |
| 2020-09-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.2% | +0.7% | -6.6% | +0.0% | +10.4% |
| 2020-06-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +9.5% | +4.6% | -0.2% | +6.0% | +4.9% |
| 2020-03-03 miss | 0.17 | -0.01 | -105.8% | -5.4% | +9.6% | -6.8% | -8.4% |
| 2019-12-03 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +19.3% | +2.3% | -5.2% | +1.1% | +8.9% |
| 2019-09-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.74 | +118.9% | +8.6% | +4.9% | +11.4% | -1.6% |
| 2019-06-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.7% | -7.0% | -8.8% | -0.3% | -3.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.