AWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.6% | 6.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 1.3% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.1% | 8.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.25 | 2.36 | +5.0% | +3.1% | +8.1% | +2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 1.81 | 1.69 | -6.4% | -5.4% | -4.5% | -3.2% | -5.6% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 1.68 | 1.61 | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.6% | -2.5% | -4.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.9% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.78 | 2.09 | +17.2% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +3.3% | +7.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.53 | 1.66 | +8.7% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.50 | +8.3% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -2.7% | -5.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.76 | 1.81 | +2.9% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +5.7% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.55 | 1.62 | +4.5% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -8.1% | -5.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.38 | +12.2% | -3.9% | -3.3% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.