AWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 5.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 2.4% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | -2.2% | 7.9% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.25 | 2.36 | +5.0% | +3.1% | +8.1% | +2.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 1.81 | 1.69 | -6.4% | -5.4% | -4.5% | -3.2% | -5.6% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 1.68 | 1.61 | -4.0% | -2.5% | -9.6% | -2.5% | -4.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +0.9% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.78 | 2.09 | +17.2% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +3.3% | +7.0% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.53 | 1.66 | +8.7% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.38 | 1.50 | +8.3% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -2.7% | -5.7% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.76 | 1.81 | +2.9% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +5.7% | +14.4% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.55 | 1.62 | +4.5% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -8.1% | -5.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.38 | +12.2% | -3.9% | -3.3% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.04 | 1.22 | +17.7% | +7.9% | +11.8% | +4.9% | +4.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.31 | 1.60 | +21.8% | +7.9% | +7.1% | +2.7% | +12.8% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.31 | 1.38 | +5.5% | +2.8% | +2.5% | -1.2% | -5.4% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.5% | +0.5% | -6.5% | -1.2% | -6.6% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -3.2% | -4.1% | -4.1% | +1.1% | -12.6% |
| 2022-10-25 miss | 1.47 | 1.36 | -7.5% | -5.1% | -3.1% | -2.5% | -0.5% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 1.37 | 1.29 | -5.5% | -1.5% | +1.0% | +5.6% | +7.2% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 1.13 | 1.02 | -10.1% | -2.2% | -6.0% | -0.6% | -7.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.8% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -5.6% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 1.28 | 1.17 | -8.9% | -3.7% | -0.1% | +6.3% | +12.2% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.05 | 1.16 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +2.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021-04-27 miss | 0.90 | 0.84 | -6.9% | -6.0% | +0.4% | +5.4% | +3.3% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.5% | +2.0% | +9.1% | -0.4% | +5.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +14.4% | +4.6% | -3.2% | -1.9% | +23.6% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.91 | 0.75 | -17.7% | -10.0% | -11.7% | -1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2020-04-27 miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.9% | -2.6% | +2.1% | -6.7% | -3.2% |
| 2020-02-24 beat | 0.86 | 1.11 | +29.1% | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -32.0% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +6.5% | -3.2% | -4.7% | -4.4% | -0.3% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +6.6% | +1.9% | -5.0% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.94 | 1.10 | +17.4% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.