AXP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -2.0% | 4.1% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.8% | 1.4% | 90% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -1.2% | 5.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 4.40 | 4.53 | +2.9% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 3.99 | 4.28 | +7.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | +1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-01-30 miss | 3.55 | 3.53 | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.8% | +2.0% | -12.6% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 3.98 | 4.14 | +4.0% | +2.9% | +7.3% | +3.2% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 3.88 | 4.08 | +5.1% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 3.47 | 3.64 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +5.4% | +19.1% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 3.03 | 3.04 | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 3.28 | 3.49 | +6.5% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 3.26 | 4.15 | +27.1% | -3.0% | -2.7% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-19 beat | 2.98 | 3.33 | +11.7% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.