AXP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -1.4% | 4.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 2.4% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | -0.9% | 6.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 4.40 | 4.53 | +2.9% | -4.3% | -4.3% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 3.99 | 4.28 | +7.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | +1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-01-30 miss | 3.55 | 3.53 | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.8% | +2.0% | -12.6% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 3.98 | 4.14 | +4.0% | +2.9% | +7.3% | +3.2% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 3.88 | 4.08 | +5.1% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 3.47 | 3.64 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +5.4% | +19.1% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 3.03 | 3.04 | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 3.28 | 3.49 | +6.5% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 3.26 | 4.15 | +27.1% | -3.0% | -2.7% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-04-19 beat | 2.98 | 3.33 | +11.7% | +0.6% | +6.2% | +2.0% | +4.9% |
| 2024-01-26 miss | 2.65 | 2.62 | -1.0% | +2.4% | +7.1% | +2.5% | +8.2% |
| 2023-10-20 beat | 2.95 | 3.30 | +11.9% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -0.2% | +15.7% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 2.82 | 2.89 | +2.6% | -2.8% | -3.9% | -2.8% | -5.5% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 2.67 | 2.40 | -10.0% | -3.6% | -1.0% | -3.0% | -6.3% |
| 2023-01-27 miss | 2.24 | 2.07 | -7.5% | +7.0% | +10.5% | +3.8% | +1.0% |
| 2022-10-21 beat | 2.41 | 2.47 | +2.3% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +4.8% | +9.1% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 2.41 | 2.57 | +6.6% | +5.9% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2022-04-22 beat | 2.47 | 2.73 | +10.7% | -0.2% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -11.9% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 1.84 | 2.18 | +18.7% | +4.5% | +8.9% | +6.0% | +8.8% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 1.75 | 2.27 | +29.4% | +4.2% | +5.4% | -7.1% | -8.6% |
| 2021-07-23 beat | 1.63 | 2.80 | +72.1% | +3.3% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -7.4% |
| 2021-04-23 beat | 1.61 | 2.74 | +69.8% | -3.8% | -1.9% | +6.2% | +9.9% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 1.30 | 1.76 | +35.2% | -2.0% | -4.1% | +3.9% | +18.0% |
| 2020-10-23 miss | 1.35 | 1.30 | -3.8% | -4.0% | -3.6% | -9.6% | +15.0% |
| 2020-07-24 beat | -0.06 | 0.29 | +572.5% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.1% | +4.2% |
| 2020-04-24 miss | 1.67 | 0.41 | -75.5% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +19.0% |
| 2020-01-24 beat | 2.01 | 2.03 | +0.9% | +3.8% | +2.8% | -3.9% | -10.5% |
| 2019-10-18 beat | 2.02 | 2.08 | +2.7% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2019-07-19 beat | 2.03 | 2.07 | +1.9% | -1.2% | -2.8% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 1.97 | 2.01 | +2.0% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +3.5% | +5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.