BA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.1% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | -1.2% | 3.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -1.4% | 8.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | -0.31 | -0.76 | -141.5% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +7.0% | -4.3% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | -0.67 | -0.20 | +70.3% | +3.6% | +5.5% | -3.1% | -5.0% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | -0.41 | 9.92 | +2525.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% | -4.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | -2.38 | -7.47 | -214.4% | -0.9% | -4.4% | -7.5% | -11.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | -1.27 | -1.24 | +2.4% | +1.3% | -4.4% | -0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | -1.30 | -0.49 | +62.4% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +6.3% | +18.0% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | -3.78 | -5.90 | -56.1% | +3.5% | +1.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | -8.72 | -10.44 | -19.7% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -8.7% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | -2.01 | -2.90 | -44.2% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -14.4% | -9.6% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | -1.52 | -1.13 | +25.6% | +4.3% | -2.9% | +4.3% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.