BA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 4.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 1.7% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.1% | 5.6% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | -0.31 | -0.76 | -141.5% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +7.0% | -4.3% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | -0.67 | -0.20 | +70.3% | +3.6% | +5.5% | -3.1% | -5.0% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | -0.41 | 9.92 | +2525.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% | -4.7% | -6.2% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | -2.38 | -7.47 | -214.4% | -0.9% | -4.4% | -7.5% | -11.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | -1.27 | -1.24 | +2.4% | +1.3% | -4.4% | -0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | -1.30 | -0.49 | +62.4% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +6.3% | +18.0% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | -3.78 | -5.90 | -56.1% | +3.5% | +1.5% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | -8.72 | -10.44 | -19.7% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -8.7% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | -2.01 | -2.90 | -44.2% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -14.4% | -9.6% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | -1.52 | -1.13 | +25.6% | +4.3% | -2.9% | +4.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | -0.79 | -0.47 | +40.3% | +2.2% | +5.3% | +0.4% | -5.2% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | -2.61 | -3.26 | -25.0% | +2.0% | -2.5% | +6.6% | +23.8% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | -0.89 | -0.82 | +8.2% | +3.8% | +8.7% | -0.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | -1.05 | -1.27 | -20.9% | +3.0% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 0.20 | -1.75 | -961.3% | -2.9% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -6.8% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.09 | -6.18 | -7213.3% | +0.3% | -8.8% | +10.2% | +33.3% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | -0.11 | -0.37 | -246.3% | +3.3% | +0.1% | +6.8% | +8.5% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | -0.25 | -2.75 | -995.8% | -3.5% | -7.5% | +1.6% | -17.3% |
| 2022-01-26 miss | -0.16 | -7.69 | -4731.9% | +1.0% | -4.8% | +6.8% | +3.7% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | -0.15 | -0.60 | -299.0% | +1.4% | -1.5% | +3.3% | -3.6% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | -0.73 | 0.40 | +154.9% | +5.3% | +4.2% | -2.1% | -6.5% |
| 2021-04-28 miss | -1.09 | -1.53 | -41.0% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2021-01-27 miss | -1.65 | -15.25 | -826.0% | -2.6% | -4.0% | +6.9% | +9.3% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -2.21 | -1.39 | +37.1% | -1.4% | -4.6% | +2.4% | +46.1% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | -2.53 | -4.79 | -89.6% | +1.2% | -2.8% | +5.0% | +4.9% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | -1.49 | -1.70 | -14.3% | +5.2% | +5.9% | -12.3% | +4.9% |
| 2020-01-29 miss | -1.18 | -2.33 | -97.6% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +2.3% | -14.6% |
| 2019-10-23 miss | 2.11 | 1.45 | -31.4% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +7.6% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | -6.66 | -5.82 | +12.6% | -0.7% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -1.9% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 3.19 | 3.16 | -1.0% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -6.6% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 4.55 | 5.48 | +20.4% | +6.2% | +6.3% | +6.0% | +13.6% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 3.46 | 3.58 | +3.4% | +3.3% | +1.3% | +0.1% | -11.9% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 3.27 | 3.33 | +1.9% | -1.9% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 2.61 | 3.64 | +39.2% | +2.8% | +4.2% | -5.4% | +4.7% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 2.88 | 3.06 | +6.3% | +6.7% | +4.9% | -1.8% | -2.7% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 2.66 | 2.72 | +2.3% | -0.5% | -2.8% | +0.0% | +2.9% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 2.29 | 2.55 | +11.2% | +5.2% | +9.9% | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 1.91 | 2.01 | +5.2% | -0.7% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 2.33 | 2.47 | +5.8% | +1.9% | +4.2% | -2.0% | +6.0% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 2.62 | 3.51 | +34.0% | -0.4% | +4.7% | -3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 2.24 | 2.79 | +24.4% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | 1.85 | 1.74 | -5.8% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -4.5% | -5.7% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 1.28 | 1.60 | +25.3% | -6.3% | -8.9% | +4.5% | +1.4% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 2.19 | 2.52 | +14.8% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +4.7% | +5.7% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 1.38 | 1.62 | +17.4% | +2.7% | +1.0% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 1.81 | 1.97 | +9.0% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -3.3% | -2.5% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 2.12 | 2.31 | +9.1% | +2.9% | +5.4% | +5.4% | +8.0% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | 1.96 | 2.14 | +9.3% | +0.7% | -4.5% | +1.3% | +8.4% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 1.99 | 2.42 | +21.5% | -1.5% | -2.3% | -3.5% | +0.6% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 1.56 | 1.76 | +12.5% | +2.4% | +2.4% | -1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2014-01-29 beat | 1.57 | 1.88 | +19.9% | -3.9% | -5.3% | -6.5% | -0.7% |
| 2013-10-23 beat | 1.55 | 1.80 | +16.4% | +2.9% | +5.3% | +0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 1.55 | 1.67 | +7.4% | +1.3% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 1.49 | 1.73 | +15.9% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +0.4% | +9.8% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.28 | +6.4% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +3.6% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 1.12 | 1.35 | +20.4% | +2.9% | -0.2% | -3.7% | +2.4% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 1.11 | 1.27 | +14.1% | +3.0% | +2.8% | -1.7% | -5.0% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.95 | 1.22 | +28.4% | +2.5% | +5.3% | +0.2% | -7.4% |
| 2012-01-25 beat | 1.02 | 1.32 | +30.0% | -1.8% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2011-10-26 beat | 1.11 | 1.46 | +31.4% | +6.0% | +4.5% | -3.2% | -5.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.