BAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.6% | 3.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 1.12 | 1.21 | +7.7% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 1.02 | 1.11 | +8.8% | +1.7% | +1.8% | -2.2% | -8.2% |
| 2026-01-14 beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +2.2% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.4% | +3.0% | +4.4% | -2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +4.6% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +10.7% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +2.0% | +16.8% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.8% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.6% | +1.5% | +5.3% | -3.9% | -12.1% |
| 2024-04-16 miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.8% | +0.4% | -3.5% | +10.6% | +12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.