BAC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.2% | 4.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 1.12 | 1.21 | +7.7% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 1.02 | 1.11 | +8.8% | +1.7% | +1.8% | -2.2% | -8.2% |
| 2026-01-14 beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +2.2% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.4% | +3.0% | +4.4% | -2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +4.6% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +10.7% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +2.0% | +16.8% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.8% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.6% | +1.5% | +5.3% | -3.9% | -12.1% |
| 2024-04-16 miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.8% | +0.4% | -3.5% | +10.6% | +12.2% |
| 2024-01-12 miss | 0.64 | 0.35 | -45.6% | -2.7% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 0.82 | 0.90 | +10.1% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -7.8% | +7.2% |
| 2023-07-18 beat | 0.83 | 0.88 | +5.6% | +2.0% | +4.4% | +4.7% | -4.6% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.9% | +1.4% | +0.6% | -5.6% | -6.5% |
| 2023-01-13 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.6% | -0.8% | +2.2% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2022-10-17 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +4.9% | +5.2% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +12.1% |
| 2022-07-18 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.1% | +2.6% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +13.6% |
| 2022-04-18 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +7.5% | -0.4% | +3.4% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +8.6% | +4.6% | +0.4% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2021-10-14 beat | 0.70 | 0.85 | +21.6% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +3.9% | +4.1% |
| 2021-07-14 beat | 0.76 | 1.03 | +35.5% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -1.0% | +8.5% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 0.65 | 0.86 | +32.9% | +1.5% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +9.2% |
| 2021-01-19 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.4% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -5.6% | +4.3% |
| 2020-10-14 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.4% | -2.4% | -5.3% | +1.8% | +13.0% |
| 2020-07-16 beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +28.6% | -3.5% | -2.7% | +2.5% | +10.6% |
| 2020-04-15 miss | 0.60 | 0.40 | -33.4% | -6.6% | -6.5% | -1.8% | -2.2% |
| 2020-01-15 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +7.1% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +10.5% | +2.2% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +8.4% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +5.1% | -10.1% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 0.66 | 0.70 | +5.7% | -1.8% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.