BAH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.8% | 7.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.3% | 3.0% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.5% | 8.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.81 | +21.9% | +6.3% | +10.1% | -3.9% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.78 | +30.7% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +6.8% | -20.3% |
| 2026-01-23 beat | 1.29 | 1.77 | +37.1% | +10.8% | +6.8% | -13.5% | -26.0% |
| 2025-10-24 miss | 1.51 | 1.49 | -1.4% | -6.7% | -8.9% | -4.6% | -11.6% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.2% | +1.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-23 miss | 1.61 | 1.61 | -0.3% | -17.3% | -16.5% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.52 | 1.55 | +1.9% | -3.2% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -18.0% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 1.49 | 1.81 | +21.7% | +8.7% | +9.2% | -0.4% | -18.9% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 1.52 | 1.38 | -9.2% | -8.4% | -8.9% | +3.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-24 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.3% | +5.4% | +4.0% | -5.0% | -1.4% |
| 2024-01-26 beat | 1.16 | 1.41 | +21.4% | +8.6% | +13.6% | -2.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-10-27 miss | 1.33 | 1.29 | -2.7% | -3.2% | -3.3% | +4.8% | +7.3% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 1.25 | 1.47 | +17.2% | +0.2% | +6.1% | +1.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-26 beat | 0.95 | 1.01 | +6.9% | +5.6% | +7.1% | +7.2% | +12.9% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.3% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 1.13 | 1.34 | +18.9% | +1.3% | +4.9% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 1.06 | 1.13 | +6.9% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2022-05-20 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +10.2% | +7.4% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.5% | -8.4% | -8.3% | +1.9% | +9.6% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +7.8% | -0.1% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.