BAH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +1.4% | 6.5% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.9% | 7.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.81 | +21.9% | +6.3% | +10.1% | -3.9% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.78 | +30.7% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +6.8% | -20.3% |
| 2026-01-23 beat | 1.29 | 1.77 | +37.1% | +10.8% | +6.8% | -13.5% | -26.0% |
| 2025-10-24 miss | 1.51 | 1.49 | -1.4% | -6.7% | -8.9% | -4.6% | -11.6% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.2% | +1.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-23 miss | 1.61 | 1.61 | -0.3% | -17.3% | -16.5% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.52 | 1.55 | +1.9% | -3.2% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -18.0% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 1.49 | 1.81 | +21.7% | +8.7% | +9.2% | -0.4% | -18.9% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 1.52 | 1.38 | -9.2% | -8.4% | -8.9% | +3.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-24 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.3% | +5.4% | +4.0% | -5.0% | -1.4% |
| 2024-01-26 beat | 1.16 | 1.41 | +21.4% | +8.6% | +13.6% | -2.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-10-27 miss | 1.33 | 1.29 | -2.7% | -3.2% | -3.3% | +4.8% | +7.3% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 1.25 | 1.47 | +17.2% | +0.2% | +6.1% | +1.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-26 beat | 0.95 | 1.01 | +6.9% | +5.6% | +7.1% | +7.2% | +12.9% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.3% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 1.13 | 1.34 | +18.9% | +1.3% | +4.9% | -1.7% | -2.4% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 1.06 | 1.13 | +6.9% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2022-05-20 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.2% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +10.2% | +7.4% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.5% | -8.4% | -8.3% | +1.9% | +9.6% |
| 2021-10-29 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +16.7% | +1.3% | +7.8% | -0.1% | -3.4% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.97 | 1.07 | +10.3% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 2021-05-21 beat | 0.82 | 0.89 | +8.0% | +0.5% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +6.0% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.94 | 1.04 | +10.2% | -4.4% | -10.7% | -3.6% | -7.2% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +12.2% | +1.9% | +4.2% | +10.3% | +13.6% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +5.2% | +3.6% | +7.7% |
| 2020-05-26 beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +0.6% | +5.5% | +1.2% |
| 2020-01-31 beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.2% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -4.4% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.71 | 0.81 | +13.9% | +2.8% | +5.6% | -3.4% | -3.5% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 0.72 | 0.83 | +15.2% | +2.1% | +3.4% | -5.8% | +3.0% |
| 2019-05-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.6% | -2.0% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 0.59 | 0.72 | +22.5% | +6.3% | +5.0% | +5.5% | +3.0% |
| 2018-10-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +14.3% | +3.1% | +4.0% | -1.2% | +5.5% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 0.58 | 0.72 | +24.4% | +3.0% | -2.1% | +8.3% | +13.3% |
| 2018-05-29 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +14.0% | +1.4% | +5.3% | +2.7% | -1.5% |
| 2018-02-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +13.0% | -4.3% | -5.0% | +1.8% | +6.9% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.2% | -1.0% | -4.0% | -1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2017-08-07 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.5% | -1.0% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +4.0% |
| 2017-05-22 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +5.2% | +5.0% | +7.1% | +1.9% | -16.0% |
| 2017-01-30 miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -6.0% | -2.0% | -6.5% | +2.1% | +6.8% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.6% | +4.5% | +3.8% | +7.6% | +20.4% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +4.5% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -3.0% | -2.5% |
| 2016-05-18 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.1% | +0.7% | +5.2% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.4% | -4.9% | -6.5% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.4% | +4.2% | +9.6% | -4.3% | +0.7% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.6% | +1.4% | +8.0% | -3.1% | -4.9% |
| 2015-05-21 miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -9.2% | -6.0% | -11.8% | +0.9% | +5.2% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.0% | +3.8% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.4% | -0.3% | -3.8% | +4.4% | +8.0% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.7% | +2.3% | +6.6% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2014-05-21 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.0% | -4.8% | -9.2% | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| 2014-01-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.4% | -2.9% | +3.2% | +0.3% | +21.2% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.38 | 0.47 | +25.3% | +2.4% | +0.2% | -9.9% | -10.7% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +26.1% | +4.3% | +10.7% | -4.4% | -2.7% |
| 2013-05-22 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.5% | +3.5% | +8.3% | -6.1% | -7.4% |
| 2013-01-30 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.3% | -2.5% | -5.4% | -2.9% | -8.3% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +4.0% | +0.7% | +6.6% | +2.0% | +4.7% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +8.4% | +1.3% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2012-05-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +3.2% | +8.9% | +13.3% | +0.2% | -11.5% |
| 2012-02-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.9% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -0.2% | -1.6% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +1.4% | -5.8% | +3.5% | -4.7% | -2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.