BAH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | +1.6% | 8.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -0.4% | 3.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.9% | -3.0% | 9.6% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.81 | +21.9% | +6.3% | +10.1% | -3.9% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.78 | +30.7% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +6.8% | -20.3% |
| 2026-01-23 beat | 1.29 | 1.77 | +37.1% | +10.8% | +6.8% | -13.5% | -26.0% |
| 2025-10-24 miss | 1.51 | 1.49 | -1.4% | -6.7% | -8.9% | -4.6% | -11.6% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.2% | +1.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-23 miss | 1.61 | 1.61 | -0.3% | -17.3% | -16.5% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.52 | 1.55 | +1.9% | -3.2% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -18.0% |
| 2024-10-25 beat | 1.49 | 1.81 | +21.7% | +8.7% | +9.2% | -0.4% | -18.9% |
| 2024-07-26 miss | 1.52 | 1.38 | -9.2% | -8.4% | -8.9% | +3.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-24 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.3% | +5.4% | +4.0% | -5.0% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.