BALL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -1.2% | 5.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -2.2% | 8.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +4.3% | -5.0% | -2.1% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.84 | 0.94 | +11.3% | +1.1% | -6.3% | +0.8% | -7.7% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.5% | +4.9% | +9.0% | +9.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 1.02 | 1.02 | -0.2% | -1.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.3% | +2.1% | -5.7% | -1.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.7% | +2.8% | -0.3% | +2.1% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.7% | -6.5% | -6.9% | -2.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.0% | +0.9% | -7.7% | +1.2% | +6.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +5.2% | -2.3% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 0.54 | 0.68 | +25.7% | +1.6% | +6.6% | -1.7% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.