BALL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.2% | 5.4% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 42% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.2% | 7.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.99 | 1.03 | +4.3% | -5.0% | -2.1% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.84 | 0.94 | +11.3% | +1.1% | -6.3% | +0.8% | -7.7% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.5% | +4.9% | +9.0% | +9.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 1.02 | 1.02 | -0.2% | -1.4% | +1.5% | -1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.3% | +2.1% | -5.7% | -1.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.7% | +2.8% | -0.3% | +2.1% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.7% | -6.5% | -6.9% | -2.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +6.0% | +0.9% | -7.7% | +1.2% | +6.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.74 | +5.2% | -2.3% | +1.1% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 0.54 | 0.68 | +25.7% | +1.6% | +6.6% | -1.7% | -3.4% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.6% | +6.1% | +7.1% | -0.5% | +8.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +2.7% | -0.4% | +16.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.2% | +1.3% | +3.5% | -3.8% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.51 | 0.69 | +36.0% | +9.0% | +13.4% | -3.7% | -8.7% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.55 | 0.44 | -20.0% | -0.4% | +4.2% | -9.6% | -7.9% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -5.9% | +9.4% | +6.6% | +4.8% | +6.5% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.90 | 0.82 | -8.8% | -8.1% | -18.6% | -2.5% | -5.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.83 | 0.77 | -7.4% | -1.7% | -7.7% | -9.8% | -3.9% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +7.9% | +4.9% | +8.6% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.98 | 0.94 | -4.3% | -2.5% | -2.8% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +4.1% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +10.7% | +20.5% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +6.9% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -10.2% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.2% | -0.5% | -2.3% | -0.4% | -7.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.77 | 0.89 | +15.7% | +2.8% | +3.2% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.6% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.1% | +10.8% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.3% | -0.5% | +0.3% | -5.8% | +12.4% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.3% | -0.8% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -7.0% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -3.0% | -0.5% | -5.4% | -7.0% | -6.0% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +4.6% | +1.8% | +7.6% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.51 | 0.49 | -4.1% | -1.7% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +3.4% |
| 2019-01-31 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -0.9% | -2.3% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +5.7% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -5.3% | +2.3% | +6.3% | +2.3% | +4.6% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.3% | -1.6% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +3.3% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.2% | +0.5% | -1.5% | +2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2018-02-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.60 | +17.0% | +8.6% | +6.5% | -3.1% | +6.3% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 0.58 | 0.52 | -10.0% | -0.2% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -2.8% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -3.0% | -0.2% | -3.0% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +9.9% | +4.0% | +5.6% | -0.6% | +2.4% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +3.6% | -0.6% | -4.2% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.6% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -3.0% | -5.9% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.0% | +6.4% | +12.0% | +2.6% | +2.7% |
| 2016-04-28 miss | 0.34 | 0.29 | -15.7% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.2% | -4.7% | +1.2% | +1.4% | -1.0% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.4% | -1.3% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -5.3% | -0.5% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.40 | 0.35 | -12.7% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 2015-02-05 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -1.3% | +7.3% | +8.9% | +2.8% | -2.3% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.4% | -3.8% | -4.9% | +2.2% | +6.5% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +10.4% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +1.6% | +4.6% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +20.6% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +18.6% | +5.6% | +5.2% | +0.8% | +7.1% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.0% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +2.2% | +4.5% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -10.3% | -5.6% | -4.8% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.7% | -1.7% | -3.1% | +1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.4% | +2.6% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.8% | +3.8% | +1.1% | -3.3% | +2.9% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.9% | -0.6% | -3.2% | -0.4% | -4.2% |
| 2012-01-26 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.0% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.4% | -1.5% | +2.9% | -2.5% | -4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.