BAP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 2.9% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.3% | 5.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | 7.36 | 7.38 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -1.3% | — |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 7.26 | 7.59 | +4.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +5.7% | +15.2% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 6.45 | 5.93 | -8.1% | +0.1% | -0.8% | +2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 6.31 | 6.47 | +2.5% | -6.4% | +0.7% | -2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 5.97 | 6.41 | +7.2% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 5.44 | 6.06 | +11.5% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -1.1% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-09 miss | 4.39 | 3.79 | -13.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 4.72 | 5.06 | +7.3% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +4.6% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 4.76 | 4.50 | -5.4% | +0.2% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 4.41 | 5.13 | +16.3% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 2.68 | 2.75 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +11.1% | +13.8% |
| 2023-11-06 miss | 4.43 | 4.12 | -7.0% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 4.48 | 4.75 | +6.0% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2023-05-06 beat | 4.09 | 4.68 | +14.7% | -1.2% | +4.1% | -6.8% | -4.8% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 4.05 | 3.48 | -14.1% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -5.9% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 3.85 | 4.14 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 3.72 | 3.62 | -2.7% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 3.78 | 3.72 | -1.5% | -1.0% | -5.2% | +5.3% | +7.3% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 3.46 | 3.47 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +7.6% | +9.6% | +10.5% |
| 2021-12-01 beat | 2.98 | 3.59 | +20.6% | +1.5% | -4.1% | +1.7% | +7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.