BAP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 3.8% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 42% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.5% | 5.7% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | 7.36 | 7.38 | +0.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -1.3% | — |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 7.26 | 7.59 | +4.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +5.7% | +15.2% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 6.45 | 5.93 | -8.1% | +0.1% | -0.8% | +2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 6.31 | 6.47 | +2.5% | -6.4% | +0.7% | -2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 5.97 | 6.41 | +7.2% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | 5.44 | 6.06 | +11.5% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -1.1% | +5.9% |
| 2025-02-09 miss | 4.39 | 3.79 | -13.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 4.72 | 5.06 | +7.3% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +4.6% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 4.76 | 4.50 | -5.4% | +0.2% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 4.41 | 5.13 | +16.3% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -8.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 2.68 | 2.75 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +11.1% | +13.8% |
| 2023-11-06 miss | 4.43 | 4.12 | -7.0% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 4.48 | 4.75 | +6.0% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2023-05-06 beat | 4.09 | 4.68 | +14.7% | -1.2% | +4.1% | -6.8% | -4.8% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 4.05 | 3.48 | -14.1% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -5.9% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 3.85 | 4.14 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -5.7% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 3.72 | 3.62 | -2.7% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 3.78 | 3.72 | -1.5% | -1.0% | -5.2% | +5.3% | +7.3% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 3.46 | 3.47 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +7.6% | +9.6% | +10.5% |
| 2021-12-01 beat | 2.98 | 3.59 | +20.6% | +1.5% | -4.1% | +1.7% | +7.9% |
| 2021-08-15 miss | 2.33 | 2.15 | -7.8% | -0.8% | -3.8% | +6.8% | +9.1% |
| 2021-05-07 miss | 2.21 | 2.18 | -1.3% | +0.0% | +10.2% | +8.1% | -6.1% |
| 2021-02-07 beat | 1.53 | 2.26 | +47.5% | -0.7% | +4.3% | +1.2% | -7.8% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 1.93 | 0.85 | -55.8% | +5.4% | +15.8% | -7.3% | +18.4% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | 2.00 | -2.19 | -209.3% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 3.80 | 0.77 | -79.7% | +3.0% | +1.4% | -8.2% | +14.0% |
| 2020-02-05 miss | 4.20 | 3.63 | -13.5% | +0.0% | -5.9% | +1.9% | -14.0% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 4.30 | 4.09 | -4.9% | +0.1% | -4.9% | +1.9% | -1.4% |
| 2019-08-08 miss | 4.16 | 4.07 | -2.2% | +1.0% | -3.5% | -0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | 4.20 | 4.16 | -1.1% | -0.3% | +0.4% | -5.3% | -6.5% |
| 2019-02-06 miss | 4.07 | 3.61 | -11.3% | -1.5% | -3.8% | -0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2018-11-07 miss | 4.00 | 3.77 | -5.7% | -0.3% | -1.7% | +0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 3.95 | 3.75 | -5.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -3.2% | -8.6% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 3.85 | 3.97 | +3.1% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2018-02-05 beat | 3.58 | 4.13 | +15.5% | -1.8% | +1.9% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 3.64 | 4.71 | +29.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-07 beat | 3.46 | 3.56 | +2.7% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +1.9% | +4.0% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 3.45 | 3.41 | -1.0% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +6.3% | +9.3% |
| 2017-02-06 beat | 2.97 | 3.43 | +15.6% | +0.3% | +2.7% | +0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 3.04 | 3.53 | +15.9% | +1.6% | +6.0% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2016-08-08 miss | 3.11 | 2.90 | -6.7% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 2.86 | 3.18 | +11.3% | +0.4% | +2.5% | +3.2% | +8.9% |
| 2016-02-08 beat | 2.73 | 2.77 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +14.8% | +30.9% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 2.86 | 2.84 | -1.0% | +1.3% | +0.2% | -3.8% | -9.0% |
| 2015-08-10 beat | 2.86 | 2.93 | +2.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -9.7% | -15.6% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 2.77 | 2.79 | +0.7% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -0.8% | -8.2% |
| 2015-02-09 miss | 2.67 | 2.55 | -4.4% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +0.4% | -5.0% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 2.79 | 2.76 | -0.9% | +0.4% | +0.1% | -1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 2.77 | 2.61 | -5.8% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 2.55 | 2.71 | +6.2% | +0.7% | +5.5% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-05 miss | 2.34 | 2.15 | -8.3% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +4.7% | +2.6% |
| 2013-11-07 miss | 2.44 | 2.25 | -7.7% | -2.2% | -3.9% | +1.9% | +1.5% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 2.56 | 0.68 | -73.4% | -0.3% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +3.3% |
| 2013-05-06 miss | 2.60 | 2.28 | -12.3% | +1.1% | +4.4% | -3.8% | -11.8% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | 2.46 | 2.51 | +1.9% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +3.6% | +11.3% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | 2.38 | 2.85 | +19.8% | -0.7% | +1.8% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2012-08-07 miss | 2.41 | 2.16 | -10.3% | -0.2% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2012-05-09 beat | 2.24 | 2.37 | +5.9% | +0.5% | +0.4% | -4.1% | -4.6% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 2.10 | 2.37 | +12.8% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +1.5% | +6.6% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 2.07 | 2.14 | +3.1% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -1.0% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.