BAX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.0% | -2.8% | 11.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 2.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +0.7% | 3.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -3.5% | -1.8% | 10.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.56 | +52.5% | +17.4% | +8.0% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +15.9% | +4.9% | +4.0% | -0.5% | +4.7% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.54 | 0.44 | -17.8% | -12.3% | -16.0% | +15.3% | -8.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +15.4% | -15.5% | -14.5% | -6.2% | -0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -3.3% | -15.3% | -22.4% | +8.2% | +13.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +13.8% | +3.1% | -1.6% | +1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.6% | +8.0% | +8.5% | +5.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.0% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -7.7% | -9.2% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.7% | +1.0% | +6.6% | -6.5% | +5.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +7.2% | -3.1% | -8.5% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.