BAX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.5% | -1.8% | 7.7% | 33% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 2.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 47% |
| 5-day | -3.4% | -0.7% | 7.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.56 | +52.5% | +17.4% | +8.0% | +1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +15.9% | +4.9% | +4.0% | -0.5% | +4.7% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.54 | 0.44 | -17.8% | -12.3% | -16.0% | +15.3% | -8.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +15.4% | -15.5% | -14.5% | -6.2% | -0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.61 | 0.59 | -3.3% | -15.3% | -22.4% | +8.2% | +13.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +13.8% | +3.1% | -1.6% | +1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.6% | +8.0% | +8.5% | +5.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.0% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -7.7% | -9.2% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.7% | +1.0% | +6.6% | -6.5% | +5.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +7.2% | -3.1% | -8.5% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +1.8% | -1.0% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.68 | +0.3% | +0.3% | +4.5% | -4.1% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -8.3% | -3.5% | -7.1% | -3.4% | -8.7% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +19.6% | +2.0% | +1.6% | -3.2% | -11.8% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.94 | 0.88 | -6.1% | -9.3% | -12.1% | -0.8% | -3.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +0.7% | -0.3% | -6.4% | -6.5% | +2.3% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.3% | -7.6% | -10.9% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.81 | 0.93 | +15.5% | +0.1% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +7.6% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 1.03 | 1.04 | +1.1% | -5.1% | -2.7% | +4.2% | -4.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.94 | 1.02 | +8.8% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.9% | -3.2% | -5.5% | -3.8% | -4.4% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.76 | +17.7% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +4.9% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.72 | 0.83 | +14.6% | +1.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -2.6% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.71 | 0.64 | -10.1% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -6.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +10.9% | +0.7% | -3.0% | -0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2020-03-17 miss | 0.84 | 0.79 | -6.0% | +2.5% | +12.5% | -8.2% | +12.4% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.89 | +9.6% | +1.5% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.68 | 0.76 | +11.6% | -1.8% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.8% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -1.9% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.