BBD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | -0.2% | 7.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | -1.6% | 11.1% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -5.7% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -7.6% | +1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.8% | +2.6% | +0.5% | -9.1% | -13.0% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -6.2% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.11 | 0.11 | -0.4% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +13.7% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +12.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +8.6% | +15.0% | +18.9% | +1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +14.1% | -4.9% | -4.9% | +2.4% | -5.7% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -5.2% | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.6% | -15.8% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -10.6% | +1.8% | +8.1% | +12.1% | +18.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.08 | 0.08 | -0.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.