BBD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 5.5% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 3.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -0.7% | 9.0% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -5.7% | +0.6% | -2.0% | -7.6% | +1.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.8% | +2.6% | +0.5% | -9.1% | -13.0% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -6.2% | -2.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.11 | 0.11 | -0.4% | -4.5% | -3.7% | +3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +13.7% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +12.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +8.6% | +15.0% | +18.9% | +1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +14.1% | -4.9% | -4.9% | +2.4% | -5.7% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -5.2% | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.6% | -15.8% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -10.6% | +1.8% | +8.1% | +12.1% | +18.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.08 | 0.08 | -0.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -9.9% |
| 2024-02-07 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -19.4% | -12.5% | -15.5% | -5.3% | -1.4% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -26.9% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -1.7% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -7.6% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +23.2% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +11.0% | +18.1% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -57.2% | -7.5% | -7.5% | +11.0% | +4.1% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -22.7% | -9.4% | -18.6% | -5.1% | -8.2% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -2.4% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +8.2% | +7.6% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +3.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +6.5% | +13.5% |
| 2022-02-07 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -2.6% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -5.6% | -4.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +0.9% | +4.4% | +5.9% | +6.6% | +3.0% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +0.1% | -3.0% | -4.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +25.9% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +23.0% | +1.9% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -6.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +6.0% | -1.9% | +0.0% | +5.0% | +26.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +3.0% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -9.9% | -12.8% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -45.8% | -7.8% | -8.3% | -15.6% | +3.4% |
| 2020-02-05 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.7% | +3.0% | +1.4% | -1.3% | -22.2% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -5.3% | -5.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.3% | -3.2% | -5.8% | -8.1% | -20.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.1% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -1.0% | -6.4% |
| 2019-01-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +9.9% | +5.3% | +7.3% | -4.5% | -9.7% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +12.9% | +3.7% | +6.4% | -3.7% | +0.3% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.9% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +1.2% | -14.4% |
| 2018-04-26 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -6.8% | -16.7% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +1.7% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -10.1% | -2.3% |
| 2017-11-01 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -0.7% | -1.0% | -2.7% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +6.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +5.2% | +13.8% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +7.6% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +0.3% | -11.1% |
| 2017-02-02 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -10.3% | -4.2% | -3.0% | +1.6% | +5.9% |
| 2016-11-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +7.8% | -7.6% | -12.9% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.2% | -2.5% | -4.8% | +8.7% | +4.8% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +16.7% | -2.4% | -1.5% | -5.2% | -10.9% |
| 2016-01-28 beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +3.0% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +22.1% | +25.6% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -6.2% | -2.5% | -2.5% | +6.8% | -1.5% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.1% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -8.0% | -16.1% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +1.3% | -1.8% | -2.5% | -3.6% | -18.0% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +1.0% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -4.6% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -2.3% | +7.7% | +9.3% | -6.5% | -2.1% |
| 2014-07-31 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +6.5% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -1.2% | +19.4% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.9% | +1.2% | +1.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2014-01-30 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -4.7% | +2.3% | +0.6% | +4.1% | +7.0% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.3% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -11.0% |
| 2013-07-22 miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -7.9% | -1.8% | +4.1% | -4.1% | -10.0% |
| 2013-04-22 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +0.8% | +0.6% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +7.3% |
| 2013-01-28 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -4.8% | -1.3% | -2.8% | -1.6% | -2.9% |
| 2012-10-22 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +0.6% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +5.4% |
| 2012-07-23 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -4.9% | -4.6% | -5.8% | +9.0% | +20.0% |
| 2012-04-23 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.2% | -1.7% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -14.3% |
| 2012-01-31 miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -1.9% | -2.6% | -3.7% | +3.9% | +3.8% |
| 2011-10-26 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.4% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +3.6% | -14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.