BCRX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | -0.0% | 11.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 5.0% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.2% | 7.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.6% | 15.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +49.4% | +4.7% | +0.6% | +16.8% | +11.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.7% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +8.7% | -4.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +197.6% | +8.6% | +4.6% | +7.6% | +18.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +125.3% | -2.3% | -6.3% | +5.0% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +47.1% | +15.0% | +9.8% | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +9.7% | +23.5% | -6.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -115.3% | -3.7% | -10.0% | +3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +17.4% | -7.8% | -12.8% | +11.4% | -0.3% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +63.3% | -4.8% | +7.0% | +2.9% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +26.0% | +12.4% | +18.4% | +6.8% | +28.8% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | -0.22 | -0.28 | -25.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -4.8% | -13.5% |
| 2023-11-02 | -0.19 | -0.19 | — | +3.5% | -1.6% | -11.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.21 | -0.24 | -12.3% | +3.3% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.29 | -0.28 | +1.9% | +10.3% | +12.5% | +4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | -0.20 | -0.38 | -90.6% | -14.2% | -15.3% | +2.4% | -8.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +13.1% | -8.9% | -11.2% | +2.2% | +9.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.35 | -0.32 | +8.2% | +14.0% | +23.2% | +4.6% | +2.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.40 | -0.40 | +0.4% | -4.5% | -3.9% | -19.3% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -0.29 | -0.40 | -38.2% | -5.6% | -5.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -13.0% | -10.6% | -18.1% | +2.7% | -7.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +3.1% | -3.2% | +8.5% | -5.7% | -11.3% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.27 | -0.36 | -35.8% | +5.9% | +21.0% | -7.4% | +33.4% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -42.6% | -6.1% | -11.3% | +4.3% | -1.1% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.26 | -0.26 | -1.1% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +70.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | +15.0% | -8.5% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | -0.24 | -0.24 | +0.6% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +26.9% | +8.0% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | -0.27 | -0.02 | +92.5% | +8.0% | +9.1% | -47.3% | -49.1% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | -0.31 | -0.34 | -8.1% | +2.0% | -1.0% | -20.4% | +32.8% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | -0.32 | -0.34 | -7.1% | -1.4% | +4.6% | -4.7% | +5.7% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | -0.28 | -0.28 | -1.8% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +1.4% | -54.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.