BCRX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -1.3% | 11.1% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +1.5% | +1.4% | 4.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 6.5% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -0.5% | 16.3% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +49.4% | +4.7% | +0.6% | +16.8% | +11.2% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.7% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +8.7% | -4.8% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +197.6% | +8.6% | +4.6% | +7.6% | +18.1% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +125.3% | -2.3% | -6.3% | +5.0% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +47.1% | +15.0% | +9.8% | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +9.7% | +23.5% | -6.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -115.3% | -3.7% | -10.0% | +3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +17.4% | -7.8% | -12.8% | +11.4% | -0.3% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +63.3% | -4.8% | +7.0% | +2.9% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +26.0% | +12.4% | +18.4% | +6.8% | +28.8% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | -0.22 | -0.28 | -25.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -4.8% | -13.5% |
| 2023-11-02 | -0.19 | -0.19 | — | +3.5% | -1.6% | -11.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.21 | -0.24 | -12.3% | +3.3% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.29 | -0.28 | +1.9% | +10.3% | +12.5% | +4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | -0.20 | -0.38 | -90.6% | -14.2% | -15.3% | +2.4% | -8.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +13.1% | -8.9% | -11.2% | +2.2% | +9.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.35 | -0.32 | +8.2% | +14.0% | +23.2% | +4.6% | +2.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.40 | -0.40 | +0.4% | -4.5% | -3.9% | -19.3% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -0.29 | -0.40 | -38.2% | -5.6% | -5.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -13.0% | -10.6% | -18.1% | +2.7% | -7.7% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +3.1% | -3.2% | +8.5% | -5.7% | -11.3% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.27 | -0.36 | -35.8% | +5.9% | +21.0% | -7.4% | +33.4% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -42.6% | -6.1% | -11.3% | +4.3% | -1.1% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.26 | -0.26 | -1.1% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +70.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | +15.0% | -8.5% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | -0.24 | -0.24 | +0.6% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +26.9% | +8.0% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | -0.27 | -0.02 | +92.5% | +8.0% | +9.1% | -47.3% | -49.1% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | -0.31 | -0.34 | -8.1% | +2.0% | -1.0% | -20.4% | +32.8% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | -0.32 | -0.34 | -7.1% | -1.4% | +4.6% | -4.7% | +5.7% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | -0.28 | -0.28 | -1.8% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +1.4% | -54.7% |
| 2019-03-04 miss | -0.24 | -0.25 | -2.8% | +1.2% | +2.1% | -5.3% | -1.6% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -7.9% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -8.1% | +13.0% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | -0.24 | -0.19 | +21.2% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +16.2% | +26.6% |
| 2018-05-08 miss | -0.19 | -0.26 | -35.1% | -6.8% | -9.5% | +17.5% | +22.1% |
| 2018-02-27 miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -26.5% | -5.9% | -4.4% | +7.2% | -1.0% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +2.4% | -3.1% | -3.1% | +0.4% | -2.8% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -10.6% | +1.4% | -13.3% | +3.4% | +12.2% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | -0.19 | -0.19 | -2.1% | -1.7% | -10.5% | -1.2% | -7.3% |
| 2017-02-27 beat | -0.24 | -0.06 | +74.8% | -23.5% | +0.4% | +41.6% | +55.9% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | -0.26 | -0.16 | +37.8% | +2.3% | +14.8% | +26.5% | +22.7% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | -0.26 | -0.22 | +15.2% | +4.7% | -0.7% | +25.8% | +5.0% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | -0.23 | -0.31 | -34.3% | -11.0% | -9.0% | +4.0% | +38.1% |
| 2016-02-23 beat | -0.25 | -0.25 | +0.7% | -6.5% | -12.0% | +12.1% | +37.9% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | -0.20 | -0.20 | +1.2% | +0.8% | -3.4% | -3.3% | +6.6% |
| 2015-08-07 beat | -0.26 | 0.06 | +122.9% | -4.8% | -23.6% | +7.2% | +11.4% |
| 2015-05-08 beat | -0.24 | -0.21 | +12.0% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +6.5% | +27.8% |
| 2015-02-18 beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +20.0% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +4.5% | +1.2% |
| 2014-11-06 beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +41.0% | +3.3% | -6.7% | +0.7% | -3.2% |
| 2014-08-05 miss | -0.18 | -0.23 | -26.0% | -3.3% | +0.9% | +0.4% | -4.3% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -3.7% | -3.5% | -13.8% | +14.7% | +53.3% |
| 2014-02-26 beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +13.9% | -2.7% | -7.6% | +8.2% | -13.9% |
| 2013-11-05 miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -21.7% | +1.1% | -4.4% | +4.1% | +11.8% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | -0.12 | -0.23 | -91.7% | -7.3% | -13.1% | -0.2% | +22.0% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +25.0% | +1.1% | -0.5% | -3.2% | -11.8% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +22.3% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -12.1% | -10.0% |
| 2012-11-08 beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +13.6% | -39.6% | -40.4% | -11.6% | -1.4% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.9% | -0.3% | +8.6% | -6.5% | +1.6% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | -0.26 | -0.13 | +50.0% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +2.7% | -6.0% |
| 2012-02-16 beat | -0.33 | -0.29 | +12.1% | -2.7% | -2.7% | +7.7% | +35.2% |
| 2011-11-02 miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -6.7% | +0.0% | +3.4% | -5.6% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.