BDC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +0.6% | 7.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.0% | 1.5% | 20% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +2.4% | 11.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.02 | 2.34 | +15.7% | +9.5% | +14.8% | +10.3% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.70 | 1.77 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -11.8% | -0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.4% | +3.4% | +6.1% | -3.4% | -23.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.92 | 1.97 | +2.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | -2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.5% | +1.0% | -3.4% | -6.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.60 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +5.8% | +3.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.69 | 1.92 | +13.6% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -12.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.61 | 1.70 | +5.6% | -3.5% | -3.2% | +12.4% | +8.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.37 | 1.51 | +10.4% | +0.5% | +8.4% | -5.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.24 | +16.3% | +8.6% | +9.3% | +3.3% | +7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.