BDC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.5% | 8.3% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 2.8% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 2.5% | 37% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.4% | 10.3% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.02 | 2.34 | +15.7% | +9.5% | +14.8% | +10.3% | -1.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.70 | 1.77 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -11.8% | -0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.4% | +3.4% | +6.1% | -3.4% | -23.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.92 | 1.97 | +2.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | -2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.5% | +1.0% | -3.4% | -6.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.60 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +5.8% | +3.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.69 | 1.92 | +13.6% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -12.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.61 | 1.70 | +5.6% | -3.5% | -3.2% | +12.4% | +8.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.37 | 1.51 | +10.4% | +0.5% | +8.4% | -5.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.24 | +16.3% | +8.6% | +9.3% | +3.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.13 | 1.46 | +29.8% | +7.1% | +13.1% | +0.9% | +4.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.76 | 1.78 | +1.2% | -10.7% | -12.7% | +2.1% | +10.8% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.77 | 1.91 | +7.9% | -2.9% | -5.6% | -2.4% | +5.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +8.9% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +2.0% | +13.2% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 1.66 | 1.75 | +5.7% | +2.4% | +7.4% | +2.4% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.57 | 1.77 | +13.0% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +13.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 1.41 | 1.60 | +13.5% | +3.3% | +4.2% | +0.7% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.10 | 1.31 | +19.3% | +3.6% | +9.3% | -5.8% | +0.2% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.5% | -2.9% | +2.0% | -2.6% | -4.2% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 1.18 | 1.31 | +11.3% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +2.4% | -4.4% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.93 | 1.21 | +29.8% | +8.5% | +9.5% | +3.5% | +7.7% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.65 | 0.94 | +43.8% | +11.7% | +11.9% | +2.7% | +11.6% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.1% | +0.0% | -9.6% | -7.1% | -5.6% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.9% | -2.2% | -4.5% | -1.5% | +25.9% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.46 | +67.5% | +1.6% | +5.4% | -1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.9% | +1.5% | -5.7% | -6.0% | +1.2% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.0% | +11.8% | +5.7% | -3.1% | -21.5% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 1.41 | 1.37 | -2.3% | -13.8% | -7.7% | +1.8% | +5.1% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.38 | 1.39 | +0.7% | -5.8% | -19.2% | -1.2% | +0.7% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.2% | +0.3% | +4.9% | +4.5% | -12.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.