BEN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.1% | 4.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.6% | 6.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.71 | +28.6% | +1.0% | +6.9% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 0.55 | 0.70 | +27.5% | -0.5% | +2.9% | +2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +14.0% | -1.9% | -4.4% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.3% | -3.0% | -0.2% | +4.3% | +6.1% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 0.47 | 0.47 | -0.6% | +2.4% | +7.0% | +4.4% | +6.6% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.4% | +3.2% | +10.4% | -8.1% | -12.1% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.7% | -1.3% | -3.3% | +7.0% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.4% | +1.5% | -2.4% | -5.2% | -10.1% |
| 2024-04-29 miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.3% | -0.9% | -6.4% | +0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +11.8% | +1.9% | -0.3% | -4.3% | -1.8% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.59 | 0.84 | +42.4% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +3.3% | +8.8% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +5.9% | +4.3% | +3.9% | -4.0% | -12.1% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.3% | +5.1% | -2.8% | -2.9% | -8.1% |
| 2023-01-30 miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -5.0% | -1.8% | +1.8% | +2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.5% | +0.2% | -3.6% | +4.1% | +20.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.73 | 0.82 | +12.2% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +4.0% | -0.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.81 | 0.96 | +17.8% | -1.0% | +0.9% | -4.0% | +5.1% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 0.89 | 1.08 | +21.7% | +2.8% | +0.5% | -3.7% | -9.1% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 0.86 | 1.26 | +45.9% | +6.5% | +11.6% | +1.7% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.