BEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 2.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.4% | 7.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | -0.40 | -0.37 | +7.3% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -3.8% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +9.3% | +4.7% | +0.7% | +2.0% | +10.7% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | -0.38 | 0.54 | +241.6% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +2.1% | +3.4% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | -0.09 | -0.23 | -155.9% | +0.7% | -2.9% | -3.7% | -6.6% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | -0.48 | -0.22 | +54.0% | -1.8% | -6.2% | -3.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.35 | +12.5% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | -0.39 | -0.06 | +84.8% | +2.8% | +5.7% | +2.5% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | -0.45 | -0.32 | +28.9% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -4.7% | -10.0% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -5.3% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | -0.38 | -0.23 | +39.7% | +1.4% | +4.5% | +8.3% | +6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.