BEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.1% | 5.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | -0.40 | -0.37 | +7.3% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -3.8% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +9.3% | +4.7% | +0.7% | +2.0% | +10.7% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | -0.38 | 0.54 | +241.6% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +2.1% | +3.4% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | -0.09 | -0.23 | -155.9% | +0.7% | -2.9% | -3.7% | -6.6% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | -0.48 | -0.22 | +54.0% | -1.8% | -6.2% | -3.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.35 | +12.5% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | -0.39 | -0.06 | +84.8% | +2.8% | +5.7% | +2.5% | -0.6% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | -0.45 | -0.32 | +28.9% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -4.7% | -10.0% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -5.3% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | -0.38 | -0.23 | +39.7% | +1.4% | +4.5% | +8.3% | +6.7% |
| 2024-02-02 beat | -0.33 | 0.01 | +103.0% | +0.5% | -2.8% | -5.9% | -12.0% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +15.6% | +2.0% | -1.2% | -5.0% | +7.6% |
| 2023-08-04 miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -62.4% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -8.0% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +32.9% | +1.8% | +6.6% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2023-02-03 beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +6.0% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -2.9% | -0.5% |
| 2022-11-04 miss | -0.07 | -0.25 | -242.7% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +1.7% | -7.7% |
| 2022-08-05 miss | — | -0.03 | -1407.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +1.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 0.01 | -0.16 | -1700.0% | -2.9% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +3.5% |
| 2022-02-04 miss | 0.29 | -0.12 | -141.4% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +18.9% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | -0.10 | -0.21 | -106.9% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -2.4% | -11.8% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.04 | -0.13 | -464.2% | +0.4% | +2.7% | -1.7% | +5.8% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | -0.01 | -0.24 | -1680.4% | +1.9% | -2.4% | -4.2% | +4.1% |
| 2021-02-04 miss | -0.04 | -0.22 | -486.2% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +0.5% | -17.0% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | -0.11 | -0.29 | -165.1% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +6.2% | +5.7% |
| 2020-08-07 miss | 0.09 | -0.09 | -207.7% | +1.0% | +2.7% | -4.1% | -1.7% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +199.9% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.11 | -812.8% | -1.5% | +3.3% | +2.4% | -5.5% |
| 2019-11-11 miss | -0.01 | -0.09 | -899.7% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +5.1% | +11.2% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -65.8% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +19.1% | +1.2% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.