BFAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +1.2% | 13.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +1.0% | 2.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.8% | +0.5% | 10.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.28 | +6.6% | -2.0% | -4.4% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.9% | -8.4% | -18.6% | +3.4% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.5% | -9.2% | -18.2% | +6.7% | +14.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.32 | 1.57 | +18.9% | +8.4% | +18.4% | -9.9% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.8% | +12.6% | +10.6% | -4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.64 | 0.77 | +19.6% | -2.7% | -4.3% | +0.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.0% | +7.4% | +8.4% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.5% | -3.0% | -12.8% | -3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.7% | +3.9% | +14.1% | -2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.7% | +6.5% | +6.7% | +1.3% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.