BFAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 7.5% | 49% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 3.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +1.1% | 9.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.28 | +6.6% | -2.0% | -4.4% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.9% | -8.4% | -18.6% | +3.4% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.5% | -9.2% | -18.2% | +6.7% | +14.2% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.32 | 1.57 | +18.9% | +8.4% | +18.4% | -9.9% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.8% | +12.6% | +10.6% | -4.7% | -7.3% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.64 | 0.77 | +19.6% | -2.7% | -4.3% | +0.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.0% | +7.4% | +8.4% | -2.9% | -1.4% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.5% | -3.0% | -12.8% | -3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +20.7% | +3.9% | +14.1% | -2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.7% | +6.5% | +6.7% | +1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.74 | 0.83 | +12.5% | +7.5% | +10.4% | +1.8% | +7.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +7.5% | +4.0% | +9.1% | +1.8% | +13.2% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.5% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.39 | 0.49 | +25.9% | +3.9% | +10.5% | +9.8% | +7.2% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.6% | +0.6% | +10.7% | -1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.2% | -3.2% | +1.0% | +3.1% | +6.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.7% | -5.0% | -12.8% | -5.7% | -18.4% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.9% | -3.0% | -7.7% | -22.3% | -12.0% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -2.9% | -6.2% | -2.4% | +0.0% | +5.6% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.7% | -10.7% | -12.2% | -4.6% | -19.7% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +33.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +63.9% | -1.1% | -7.2% | -3.7% | +4.9% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | -0.23 | 0.36 | +258.4% | -4.3% | -8.2% | -2.6% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.49 | 0.02 | +104.0% | -0.8% | -5.4% | +7.8% | +9.1% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | -0.58 | 0.44 | +175.7% | +11.6% | +9.4% | +3.8% | +10.3% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -1.4% | +2.0% | -6.7% | -10.4% | +21.0% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +4.4% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -1.4% | -42.9% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.86 | 0.86 | -0.1% | +0.8% | +0.9% | -2.1% | +2.3% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.9% | -0.9% | -0.2% | +3.4% | +9.2% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.4% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +0.7% | +5.9% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.5% | +2.2% | +3.0% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.0% | -2.4% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +4.5% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +8.2% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.5% | -2.0% | +0.2% | +4.0% | +6.5% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.8% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +6.3% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.7% | +6.0% | +2.4% | -2.4% | +1.4% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.8% | +2.6% | -1.7% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +8.8% | +1.9% | +4.5% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +0.9% | -9.1% | -4.3% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2016-11-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.2% | -10.9% | -5.2% | +5.8% | +8.9% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.61 | 0.61 | +0.1% | -1.8% | -2.0% | +2.3% | +7.2% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.6% | -0.6% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2016-02-08 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +3.9% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.1% | -2.0% | +5.3% | -4.0% | +1.1% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +8.4% | +3.5% | +3.3% | -2.0% | +1.2% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +6.9% | -2.7% | +7.5% | -1.5% | +3.4% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.7% | +0.3% | +2.3% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2014-11-04 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.1% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +3.3% | -0.2% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.6% | +0.6% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -4.4% |
| 2014-03-13 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.1% | -2.6% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.8% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -3.6% | -8.7% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.8% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -2.8% | +0.5% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +11.1% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2013-03-13 beat | 0.14 | 0.56 | +308.3% | +1.7% | +10.1% | +7.5% | -1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.