BJ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 7.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 3.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -1.7% | 7.6% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 1.17 | 1.36 | +16.5% | +2.9% | +5.6% | -6.0% | — |
| 2026-05-22 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +6.7% | -4.9% | -8.2% | +1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.2% | -6.9% | -1.5% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2025-11-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.16 | +6.3% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -3.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-22 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.4% | -7.1% | -8.5% | +0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 0.91 | 1.14 | +25.1% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.4% | +3.0% | +12.2% | -3.8% | +2.7% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 0.93 | 1.18 | +26.8% | +4.4% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +0.3% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.09 | +8.4% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.5% | +0.1% | +3.4% | +5.9% | +7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.