BJ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | -0.1% | 8.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -1.4% | 3.2% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.5% | 2.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -1.7% | 7.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 beat | 1.17 | 1.36 | +16.5% | +2.9% | +5.6% | -6.0% | — |
| 2026-05-22 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +6.7% | -4.9% | -8.2% | +1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.2% | -6.9% | -1.5% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2025-11-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.16 | +6.3% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -3.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-08-22 beat | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.4% | -7.1% | -8.5% | +0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 0.91 | 1.14 | +25.1% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.4% | +3.0% | +12.2% | -3.8% | +2.7% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 0.93 | 1.18 | +26.8% | +4.4% | +8.3% | +3.8% | +0.3% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.09 | +8.4% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.5% | +0.1% | +3.4% | +5.9% | +7.2% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | 1.06 | 1.11 | +4.6% | +2.6% | +9.3% | -6.7% | -3.0% |
| 2023-11-17 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.7% | -4.2% | -4.8% | +1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-08-22 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.8% | -1.6% | -5.1% | +0.3% | +9.2% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.2% | -5.6% | -7.3% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2023-03-09 beat | 0.89 | 1.00 | +13.0% | +4.7% | +2.4% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 0.84 | 0.99 | +17.8% | -8.1% | -5.6% | -0.7% | -8.2% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 0.81 | 1.06 | +31.2% | +9.7% | +7.2% | -2.8% | +3.8% |
| 2022-05-19 beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.2% | +6.6% | +7.4% | +0.8% | +4.8% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.0% | -14.5% | -13.2% | +5.4% | +18.3% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.81 | 0.91 | +12.9% | +8.4% | +19.9% | -7.8% | -9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.