BLMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -7.8% | 21.9% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 6.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -2.4% | -2.4% | 2.8% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -4.7% | 22.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +35.1% | +35.9% | +32.8% | -3.9% | -17.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +18.4% | +22.6% | +41.0% | +2.0% | -10.5% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +6.5% | +6.8% | -2.7% | +15.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +76.0% | +8.7% | -11.5% | +6.1% | +9.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.1% | -6.1% | -30.6% | +15.0% | +14.5% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.7% | +6.1% | -8.4% | +19.8% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.37 | 0.22 | -39.7% | -5.3% | -16.8% | -12.6% | -18.7% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -12.9% | -13.1% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.51 | -12.0% | +0.0% | -7.2% | -4.0% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.9% | -3.2% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -16.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.