BLMN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.1% | 13.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.8% | 4.0% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.6% | 2.5% | 33% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +1.5% | 14.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +35.1% | +35.9% | +32.8% | -3.9% | -17.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +18.4% | +22.6% | +41.0% | +2.0% | -10.5% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +6.5% | +6.8% | -2.7% | +15.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +76.0% | +8.7% | -11.5% | +6.1% | +9.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.1% | -6.1% | -30.6% | +15.0% | +14.5% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.7% | +6.1% | -8.4% | +19.8% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.37 | 0.22 | -39.7% | -5.3% | -16.8% | -12.6% | -18.7% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | -10.6% | -9.7% | -12.9% | -13.1% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.51 | -12.0% | +0.0% | -7.2% | -4.0% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.9% | -3.2% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -16.0% |
| 2024-02-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.6% | -1.0% | +2.9% | +2.3% | -0.9% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.4% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -3.8% | +0.6% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +9.3% | +2.0% | -3.2% | -0.9% | +9.2% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 0.89 | 0.98 | +10.1% | +4.4% | +5.1% | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.5% | +2.5% | +8.2% | +0.6% | -4.9% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.6% | +1.3% | +4.0% | -0.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.68 | +9.2% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +7.8% | +6.8% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2022-02-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +14.4% | +8.6% | +7.6% | +1.7% | -11.4% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.1% | -7.4% | -10.2% | +8.3% | -7.6% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.3% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +2.8% | +6.9% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.32 | 0.72 | +124.3% | +4.2% | +8.9% | -5.7% | -5.8% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | -0.01 | 0.02 | +253.7% | -2.8% | +7.5% | +3.7% | +17.5% |
| 2020-10-23 beat | -0.32 | -0.12 | +62.3% | -0.5% | -8.3% | -14.0% | +7.1% |
| 2020-07-24 beat | -1.16 | -0.74 | +36.3% | +3.6% | +7.4% | -0.3% | +7.5% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.22 | 0.14 | -35.0% | -7.3% | -8.7% | +7.9% | +39.5% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -8.6% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -3.6% | -75.2% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -0.5% | +7.4% | +11.1% | -0.4% | -3.4% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.3% | -1.0% | -4.4% | -3.1% | -1.6% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +3.4% | +4.4% | +7.0% | -5.9% | -12.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.