BMI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 9.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.8% | 3.2% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 2.4% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +2.8% | 10.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -13.2% | +5.4% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-17 miss | 1.22 | 0.93 | -24.0% | -20.3% | -24.1% | +5.4% | +3.0% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 1.16 | 1.14 | -1.5% | -12.3% | -11.0% | +0.0% | +4.2% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.14 | 1.19 | +4.6% | +1.1% | -5.4% | +4.6% | -4.7% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 1.25 | 1.17 | -6.7% | -7.7% | -16.5% | -8.2% | -8.4% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 1.05 | 1.30 | +23.3% | -0.1% | +9.6% | +7.3% | +20.7% |
| 2025-01-31 miss | 1.10 | 1.04 | -5.1% | +3.8% | +2.6% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 1.11 | 1.08 | -2.7% | -8.2% | -6.3% | -2.3% | +4.5% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 0.97 | 1.12 | +15.1% | +0.3% | -1.8% | +8.3% | +6.8% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.82 | 0.99 | +20.9% | +7.5% | +16.7% | +3.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024-01-26 beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.4% | -0.4% | -5.6% | -0.1% | +9.5% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +8.8% | +4.1% | +3.0% | -0.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.76 | +16.5% | +8.5% | +7.8% | +3.5% | +1.6% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +19.5% | +5.4% | +10.7% | -0.4% | +6.8% |
| 2023-01-27 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.3% | -9.6% | -3.6% | +8.1% | +8.7% |
| 2022-10-19 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.8% | -0.8% | +3.5% | +7.6% | +15.4% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.7% | +4.0% | +5.5% | +4.6% | +17.4% |
| 2022-04-19 miss | 0.51 | 0.49 | -3.2% | -3.4% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -11.8% |
| 2022-01-28 beat | 0.46 | 0.59 | +28.3% | +2.7% | +9.5% | +5.8% | +3.5% |
| 2021-10-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.0% | +4.0% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +4.8% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.0% | +2.4% | +6.7% | -2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.7% | -4.4% | -6.3% | +5.5% | +2.0% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +3.7% | -0.3% | -5.1% | +8.7% | +13.6% |
| 2020-10-16 beat | 0.38 | 0.51 | +33.5% | +9.8% | +11.9% | -5.3% | -0.8% |
| 2020-07-16 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.6% | -0.9% | -5.1% | +3.9% | +8.4% |
| 2020-04-16 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +12.3% | +1.0% | +8.3% | +0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2020-02-05 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.9% | -1.2% | +2.1% | +9.5% | +1.0% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +3.3% | +8.0% | +10.1% | +3.3% | +3.8% |
| 2019-07-18 miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -11.4% | -3.3% | -9.4% | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.8% | -3.1% | -2.8% | -3.0% | -7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.