BMO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +1.1% | 4.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +1.4% | 5.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 3.76 | 3.96 | +5.4% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -3.0% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.5% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 3.21 | 3.48 | +8.6% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -1.4% | -10.7% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 2.89 | 2.97 | +2.8% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 2.96 | 3.23 | +9.2% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 2.39 | 2.50 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 2.40 | 3.04 | +26.5% | +2.4% | +4.4% | -4.4% | -6.3% |
| 2024-12-05 miss | 2.39 | 1.90 | -20.3% | -4.2% | +4.5% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-08-27 miss | 2.76 | 2.64 | -4.2% | -3.0% | -6.2% | -0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2024-05-29 miss | 2.76 | 2.59 | -6.3% | -3.4% | -9.5% | -0.2% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.