BMO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 3.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.0% | 4.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 3.76 | 3.96 | +5.4% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -3.0% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.5% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 3.21 | 3.48 | +8.6% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -1.4% | -10.7% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 2.89 | 2.97 | +2.8% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 2.96 | 3.23 | +9.2% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 2.39 | 2.50 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 2.40 | 3.04 | +26.5% | +2.4% | +4.4% | -4.4% | -6.3% |
| 2024-12-05 miss | 2.39 | 1.90 | -20.3% | -4.2% | +4.5% | -0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-08-27 miss | 2.76 | 2.64 | -4.2% | -3.0% | -6.2% | -0.3% | +9.0% |
| 2024-05-29 miss | 2.76 | 2.59 | -6.3% | -3.4% | -9.5% | -0.2% | -3.6% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 3.03 | 2.56 | -15.4% | -3.5% | -3.7% | +1.2% | +6.6% |
| 2023-12-01 miss | 2.85 | 2.81 | -1.5% | -1.0% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +15.0% |
| 2023-08-29 miss | 3.13 | 2.78 | -11.3% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +0.8% |
| 2023-05-24 miss | 3.23 | 2.93 | -9.2% | -2.3% | -4.6% | +1.8% | +7.6% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 3.16 | 3.22 | +2.0% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -7.4% |
| 2022-12-01 miss | 3.07 | 3.04 | -1.0% | -0.1% | +1.2% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2022-08-30 miss | 3.14 | 3.09 | -1.6% | -1.3% | -3.2% | -2.5% | -6.8% |
| 2022-05-25 beat | 3.22 | 3.23 | +0.3% | -0.8% | -0.5% | +6.1% | -6.7% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 3.27 | 3.89 | +18.9% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -2.2% | +4.7% |
| 2021-12-03 beat | 3.22 | 3.33 | +3.5% | +2.7% | +2.2% | +1.5% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.