BOOM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.3% | +4.7% | 24.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -1.6% | 7.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | -2.8% | 5.7% | 20% |
| 5-day | -4.0% | -10.7% | 23.0% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 beat | 0.11 | 0.48 | +357.1% | +23.7% | +44.5% | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 beat | -0.12 | 0.04 | +132.0% | +29.2% | +15.5% | +20.1% | +9.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.32 | -0.28 | +13.8% | +21.4% | +36.1% | -11.5% | -19.1% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | -0.12 | -0.50 | -300.0% | -16.9% | -33.0% | -4.3% | -14.2% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.08 | -420.0% | -5.3% | -18.6% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +118.2% | -8.4% | -18.8% | -5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.08 | 0.11 | +229.4% | +9.8% | +14.4% | -6.1% | -4.9% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | -0.29 | 0.09 | +131.0% | +12.4% | +9.0% | -10.7% | -0.9% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 0.02 | -0.49 | -3366.7% | -11.6% | -6.0% | -5.8% | -13.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +87.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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