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BOOM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +0.7% | 16.7% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -1.4% | 5.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -1.1% | 4.1% | 37% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -1.0% | 16.3% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 beat | 0.11 | 0.48 | +357.1% | +23.7% | +44.5% | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 beat | -0.12 | 0.04 | +132.0% | +29.2% | +15.5% | +20.1% | +9.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.32 | -0.28 | +13.8% | +21.4% | +36.1% | -11.5% | -19.1% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | -0.12 | -0.50 | -300.0% | -16.9% | -33.0% | -4.3% | -14.2% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.08 | -420.0% | -5.3% | -18.6% | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +118.2% | -8.4% | -18.8% | -5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | -0.08 | 0.11 | +229.4% | +9.8% | +14.4% | -6.1% | -4.9% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | -0.29 | 0.09 | +131.0% | +12.4% | +9.0% | -10.7% | -0.9% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 0.02 | -0.49 | -3366.7% | -11.6% | -6.0% | -5.8% | -13.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.29 | +87.1% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -2.3% | -5.4% | -16.8% | -0.7% | -16.1% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.50 | +53.9% | -14.0% | -2.8% | -2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.58 | 0.50 | -13.8% | -10.8% | -10.0% | -6.1% | -4.9% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.41 | 0.72 | +77.0% | +17.9% | +26.8% | +2.8% | +18.9% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +5.5% | +4.0% | +5.9% | -6.5% | -5.1% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.30 | 0.22 | -25.8% | -7.8% | -3.7% | +7.8% | -15.5% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +29.6% | -0.8% | +9.7% | +0.8% | -21.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.06 | 0.29 | +557.9% | +6.8% | +5.1% | +7.6% | -11.6% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.30 | -0.16 | +46.1% | +12.3% | +19.3% | -14.8% | +19.3% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +177.8% | +0.0% | -8.9% | -15.9% | -2.1% |
| 2021-10-21 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.6% | +2.0% | +6.3% | +0.1% | -7.2% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -31.0% | -11.2% | -11.3% | +4.6% | -7.9% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | -2.9% | -3.9% | +8.0% | +4.6% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -5.3% | -0.8% | +3.9% | -2.2% | -16.1% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -0.10 | 0.08 | +182.1% | +7.8% | +7.9% | -4.9% | +15.8% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -112.2% | -10.0% | -2.1% | +2.7% | +23.5% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.2% | -6.4% | -4.4% | -1.4% | +14.3% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.45 | 0.65 | +45.2% | -3.5% | +1.0% | -8.5% | -40.9% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.90 | +17.2% | +17.9% | +18.7% | -3.1% | +2.8% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.86 | 1.17 | +35.4% | -4.1% | -14.3% | -5.6% | -17.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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