BOX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.4% | +5.5% | 7.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.0% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.5% | 2.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +4.9% | +4.5% | 8.8% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.5% | +3.9% | +1.2% | +3.6% | — |
| 2026-05-26 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.0% | +1.5% | -3.7% | +8.2% | +7.3% |
| 2026-03-03 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +45.9% | +8.2% | +10.2% | -6.4% | -8.8% |
| 2025-12-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.2% | -3.1% | +6.7% | -5.6% | -11.3% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.4% | +8.2% | +4.2% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2025-05-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +17.2% | +10.8% | +17.2% | +4.6% | -7.8% |
| 2025-03-04 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.6% | -7.4% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -4.0% |
| 2024-12-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.5% | -1.9% | -7.7% | +1.6% | -1.3% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +4.1% | +10.8% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +2.8% | +8.6% | -0.3% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.