BOX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.9% | 7.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 2.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 47% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +2.8% | 10.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.5% | +3.9% | +1.2% | +3.6% | — |
| 2026-05-26 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.0% | +1.5% | -3.7% | +8.2% | +7.3% |
| 2026-03-03 beat | 0.34 | 0.49 | +45.9% | +8.2% | +10.2% | -6.4% | -8.8% |
| 2025-12-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.2% | -3.1% | +6.7% | -5.6% | -11.3% |
| 2025-08-26 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.4% | +8.2% | +4.2% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2025-05-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +17.2% | +10.8% | +17.2% | +4.6% | -7.8% |
| 2025-03-04 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.6% | -7.4% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -4.0% |
| 2024-12-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.5% | -1.9% | -7.7% | +1.6% | -1.3% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +4.1% | +10.8% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-28 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.2% | +2.8% | +8.6% | -0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2024-03-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.2% | +6.2% | +8.6% | +0.5% | -7.3% |
| 2023-12-05 miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -5.3% | -10.0% | -10.2% | +3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2023-08-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.0% | -10.1% | -12.3% | -4.0% | -10.4% |
| 2023-05-30 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +16.6% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.1% | -14.0% | -12.9% | -11.0% | -8.4% |
| 2022-11-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +4.4% | +0.0% | +6.4% | -3.0% | +7.2% |
| 2022-08-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.7% | +1.4% | -3.4% | -9.0% | -14.2% |
| 2022-05-25 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.0% | +0.5% | +5.5% | -0.9% | -6.0% |
| 2022-03-02 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +2.9% | +7.7% | +2.1% | -2.1% | +8.5% |
| 2021-11-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.3% | +12.9% | +10.3% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2021-08-25 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +11.7% | -5.0% | -2.0% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2021-05-27 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +4.3% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +6.5% | +10.0% |
| 2021-03-02 beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +27.5% | +1.3% | -0.4% | +13.1% | +28.5% |
| 2020-12-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +38.4% | -8.7% | -8.8% | +1.8% | +5.3% |
| 2020-08-26 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +44.4% | +9.0% | +4.9% | -6.0% | -12.7% |
| 2020-05-27 beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +93.7% | +2.3% | -0.8% | -4.0% | +10.2% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +59.6% | +1.5% | +2.0% | -1.8% | -12.2% |
| 2019-11-26 beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +7.2% | +3.8% | +11.5% | -6.6% | -10.0% |
| 2019-08-28 beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -8.1% | +2.2% | +23.2% | +17.2% |
| 2019-06-03 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.2% | -14.1% | -4.2% | +3.1% | +2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.