BP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 1.7% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.9% | 4.7% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.78 | 2.22 | +24.6% | -2.3% | -4.1% | +1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.93 | 1.24 | +33.2% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -10.3% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.5% | -5.6% | -5.7% | +4.2% | +14.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +9.9% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +6.3% | +6.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.90 | +36.1% | +1.3% | +3.4% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.53 | -5.8% | -3.5% | -3.6% | +1.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -3.0% | -0.5% | +0.4% | +0.0% | -6.3% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +5.7% | -3.7% | -5.4% | +2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.00 | +10.4% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.97 | 0.97 | +0.4% | -2.3% | -3.7% | +1.0% | -5.7% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.5% | +4.4% | +6.3% | -1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 1.34 | 1.15 | -14.5% | -4.9% | -4.6% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | 1.16 | 0.89 | -23.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.42 | 1.66 | +17.1% | -6.6% | -8.1% | +0.6% | -5.6% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 1.65 | 1.59 | -3.5% | +4.1% | +8.4% | +8.7% | +4.2% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.96 | 2.59 | +32.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +7.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.13 | 2.61 | +22.7% | +3.3% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +5.0% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.39 | 1.92 | +38.0% | +5.0% | +8.0% | -4.1% | +5.3% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.14 | 1.23 | +7.5% | +0.4% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -11.5% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.87 | 0.99 | +13.5% | -3.1% | -4.6% | +0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.60 | 0.83 | +38.0% | +4.9% | +6.7% | +0.7% | -5.4% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.43 | 0.78 | +80.6% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2021-02-02 miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -54.7% | -3.3% | -6.6% | +4.7% | +25.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +157.4% | -1.0% | -2.7% | +5.2% | +39.2% |
| 2020-08-04 miss | -0.57 | -1.98 | -245.1% | +5.8% | +7.5% | +0.3% | -13.4% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -3.0% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -3.7% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +15.7% | +4.8% | +3.6% | +0.1% | -10.7% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +16.8% | -2.3% | -3.3% | +5.0% | -0.4% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +8.4% | +1.6% | +2.3% | -6.0% | -7.9% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.4% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -3.5% | -6.2% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 0.81 | 1.04 | +27.7% | +3.1% | +3.5% | -0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.86 | 1.15 | +34.5% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +1.1% | -4.1% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.82 | 0.85 | +4.2% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -3.8% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.66 | 0.78 | +19.0% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +2.3% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +11.6% | -0.6% | +2.0% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +19.5% | +3.0% | +2.7% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +40.0% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +0.7% | -5.2% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +4.3% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -16.5% | -2.9% | -4.0% | +0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +27.6% | -1.5% | -4.1% | -1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2016-07-26 miss | 0.29 | 0.23 | -20.4% | -2.3% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -0.9% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | -0.09 | 0.17 | +292.5% | +4.7% | +5.3% | -2.8% | -1.9% |
| 2016-02-02 miss | 0.24 | 0.06 | -74.8% | -8.4% | -8.5% | -0.2% | +6.4% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.60 | +59.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +6.9% | +0.5% |
| 2015-07-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.43 | -13.6% | +2.3% | +3.4% | -2.0% | -16.6% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.84 | +139.7% | +1.7% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -4.4% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.73 | +50.3% | +2.3% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.92 | 0.99 | +7.9% | +0.9% | +2.1% | -2.8% | -2.9% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +1.7% | -1.8% | -3.3% | -0.8% | -1.3% |
| 2014-04-29 | 1.05 | 1.05 | — | +1.9% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2014-02-04 miss | 0.98 | 0.90 | -7.8% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +5.1% | +5.4% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 1.05 | 1.17 | +11.3% | +4.2% | +5.0% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 1.15 | 0.86 | -25.2% | -3.4% | -3.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 1.10 | 1.32 | +20.2% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2013-02-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.25 | +18.8% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -1.9% | -8.0% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 1.32 | 1.63 | +23.3% | +3.8% | +2.8% | -2.4% | -2.6% |
| 2012-07-31 miss | 1.51 | 1.16 | -23.0% | -4.4% | -4.6% | +6.5% | +5.2% |
| 2012-05-01 miss | 1.65 | 1.50 | -8.8% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -5.3% | -14.6% |
| 2012-02-07 beat | 1.58 | 2.38 | +50.6% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 1.66 | 1.61 | -3.4% | +3.8% | +4.0% | -1.8% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.